Basketball Live Betting Strategy
One of the most exciting things about betting on basketball is there are an endless number of ways you can build a profitable betting strategy. While in theory, a perfect system exists to identify value, pick winners, and make money, we highly doubt it’s been discovered yet.
Early Season Wagers. Basketball betting sites are the best resource to predict the outcome of. Nick Federline's NCAA college basketball betting picks for Wednesday, February 3, 2021. He analyzes CBB Vegas lines and recommends the top expert bets including spreads and over/unders. Betting Strategy D: Proportional Betting Proportional betting systems require betting a portion of your bankroll and then increasing your bets by that same percentage after each win. For example, if you had a $1000 bankroll and bet 10%, you’d bet $100 the first time.
This means that the road is open for you to use your expertise to try and find that optimal strategy to make some serious cash.
Because there are so many different ways to approach identifying value and picking winning bets, it can be challenging to offer strategy tips that work across the board. It’s very possible that some of these tips work extremely well with your systems or that they aren’t a good fit.
For that reason, we recommend using and interpreting these advanced tips in one of two ways. One, you can use these tips and strategies literally and plug them directly into your system to pick winners.
For a lot of these tips, they’re gold in that sense. They will directly help you to start making better picks and identifying bets that you have to take advantage of.
The second way to effectively use these tips is to use them to help shape your way of thinking. We’re not trying to sound like philosophical kooks or anything here, but this is seriously important.
A lot of bettors that are new to sports betting and basketball betting aren’t sure how their mind should be working. They need to see examples of how a seasoned sports bettor looks at games and tries to find value and make picks.
This is also beneficial for people that have been betting for a while. Sometimes you need a fresh way of looking at things or new ideas to spark new trains of thought.
Whether you choose option one, option two, or a mixture of both, these tips and strategies should help you to take your basketball betting to the next level. If you haven’t read our Basic Basketball Betting Guide first, we do recommend you take a few minutes to glance at that to make sure you have those fundamentals nailed down.
For the rest of you or those that just rejoined us after checking out that guide, let’s dive into some of the more advanced strategies and tips for basketball betting.
The new frontier of online betting has been a few years now the live bet with the sporting event, which gives players the opportunity to bet at all times until the end, with odds that vary depending on the game's progress or of the tender in question. But how can you guess the best time to bet live and what are the variables that come into play in this type of play?
What is a live bet?
A real-time bet is a betting mode that varies the odds depending on which fold is taking a football match, a basketball match, or a Formula 1 race. In other words, for the entire duration of the sporting event the betting platform accepts bets of all kinds and, as prices change, obviously changes the percentage of winnings and gains for the better.
How do you place a live bet on an online betting platform?
Usually the player can observe the variations of the odds on betting platforms like Wetten.com through a specific window, as well as has a predefined list of bets on which the bookmaker accepts live bets: in fact not all events can be subject to this type of play, but usually the games football, basketball, and motor racing provide for this specific model.
Now that we have clarified the basic mechanisms of a live bet, let's list some tips to make the right play at the right time.
In particular, we will refer to the most widespread betting method, that is to say, the one on football matches, providing useful hints to place the most probable result or to bet on the final number of goals in the match. Also a good reason to not bet on just one platform are the various bonus offers bookmakers grant their clients. More about betting bonuses one can find on this link.
Analyze team statistics before each race
The ability to analyze is a fundamental quality for an online betting enthusiast, especially when you want to focus on a dry result.
So here is that reading on the various specialized portals the streaks of victories, the number of goals scored at home and away from home, the percentages of injured, but also the number of suspects and the ability of a club to suffer more or fewer goals away are all considerations to make before choosing the team to bet on. Some online betting platforms are even equipped with a specific statistical section inside the portal itself, which will make it easier to search and consult the data you were looking for.
To know the psychophysical conditions of the players
Another variable that comes into play in a football game is the physical condition of the players, who may be subject to moments of tiredness and fatigue in precise moments of the year - for example at the beginning of the season or after the winter break, when cold and rest put a strain on the return from Christmas holidays.
Furthermore, playing on three fronts – i.e. league, national cup, and European competitions - for many players of the great national and international club teams means a constant stress condition, since they are required to always give 100%, especially when the race schedule it intensifies, practically playing every three days. For this reason, information on the statistics of the markers, on injuries and on the ability to reassemble the disadvantage of training are useful elements to choose the result to bet on.
Wait for the best time to place the bet
A typical characteristic of the good better is the ability to understand when is the best time to bet, a quality that in a context of live betting becomes very important.
The football matches, you know, are made up of various episodes and phases, in which one team seems to prevail over the other, and then suddenly suffer a comeback. The alternation of these moments influences the consequences of the odds, with the team at a disadvantage that has higher values than that has just drawn or that is even winning in a comeback.
Therefore, the ability to wait, to evaluate the situation and to refer to the previously analyzed statistics becomes crucial to place the best result.
The last 15 minutes of the game: the best time to bet on the event
In particular, expert bettors reserve the right to enter the game in the last 15 minutes of the match, placing their wagers according to the scenario that is emerging. What in Italy we call ' Zona Cesarini ', for bookmakers is the moment in which statistically the greatest number of networks occur, with the losing team that will try all the costs to take on the same or even win the game.
This leads to an increase in its quotations, which translates from one side into a more risky bet, but on the other hand into a greater potential gain. Alternatively, you can bet on the most secure result, knowing however that the live odds for the winning team will be significantly lowered.
Under/over bets: When and how to place them
If on a probabilistic level the final quarter-hour of a match is the one in which you score more, you can take advantage of this phase of play to place an over / under bet, ie not focusing on the final result, but on the number of goals scored in the whole race.
The underplay provides the least possible number of goals, including the possibility of a draw in the net; vice versa, the over part at least by a situation of 1-1 to go further.
Depending on the result, the odds on the number of goals will vary, favoring perhaps the team that must score at least one or two goals to equalize, and it is here that you will go to make your bet, perhaps focusing on training that is currently at a disadvantage, for which the shares will be decidedly higher.
Coverage bet: a way to protect against loss
In live betting, the percentage of risk is higher than the normal bets, precisely because of the fact that the constant variation of the odds carries a greater risk for the better.
Therefore, a good game strategy can be that of carrying out a so-called cover bet, ie another bet that can put you safe from the danger of any draws or comebacks.
In other words, if you have placed, for example, a bet of the fixed type 1 before the start of the match, thus ensuring sufficiently profitable shares, focusing on the most probable result, at the end of the first half you should consult the odds relative to a final result of the type x-2: in fact if on one side the quotations of the team in advantage will be lowered, on the other the ones of the adversary will be raised, especially in the final quarter of game time.
Basketball Live Betting Strategy
So to get you safe from any eventuality you could play a double chance bet X-2, which will act as a cover if the prediction you played previously is overturned by the training at a disadvantage.